At 29 decades old Martin is coming into his prime. Undefeated at Welterweight he is revealing huge improvements in both ability and struggle IQ. Martin is a BJJ Blackbelt but it is his striking that is shining lately showing fantastic motion and a long troublesome jab. Maia is nearly 42 years old but still remains dangerous. On the floor his hands and submission arsenal is unmatched. He’s taken substantial damage in late fights in which his inability to acquire takedowns leaves him a sitting duck. With no realistic name shot on the horizon you need to question his motivation going forward.
Stylistically this is a struggle Maia should win, but with the athletic and striking advantages in Martins favour the outcome is a lot nearer than the line indicates. Maia will need early takedowns and maybe a finish in around one. Martin must make this difficult and if he’s trapped, has the BJJ to survive the entry strikes. Into around two will be where Martin will take over as it is no key Maia slows considerably. This is a good place to take the starving young fighter in puppies odds.Drew Dober Breakdown
Dober comes into this matchup off a reduction, but fought well and is showing a lot of improvements fight to combat. He’s developed his power to compliment his quite precise striking style. Another aspect to his sport is his wrestling, which he seems to mix into his offence more frequently. No world beater, but a well rounded fighter with a good chin means Dober matches up well with other reduced level fighters.
Polo Reyes is 34 decades old and his durability is now a huge question mark. Two of his last three fights have finished in a bad TKO loss. He throws with serious power but is not well rounded, as vulnerable by Had??ovi?? who dominated him around the ground before pounding him out. Basically all the skill benefits are with Dober departing Reyes with few avenues to success aside from a punchers chance. The price is steep but this fight should be a straight forward victory for Dober
Bet = Dober at 1.31 (-325) odds. Risk 5 Components to win 1.55 Units.
Vinc Pichel Breakdown
This is a classic big favourite prospect carrying a step upward trap. Roberts has a lot of hype but has neglected to ignite up to now against some lacklustre contest. There are some obvious holes in his game at which he’s backed up readily and holds his chin high. Pitchel is coming back after a second layoff and at 36 there’s a possibility he would look skinnier. He’s got big power and are going to want to force a brawl in which his durability and toughness can shine.
This should be a competitive match where we can’t overlook the chances on Pichel. Roberts has potential but has not revealed anything yet to warrant such a price . Start looking for the veteran to induce striking exchanges and property some power shots. A KO is potential or close decision also likely.
Bet = Pichel at 3.50 (+250) chances. Risk 2 Units to acquire 5.0 Units.