INITIAL UFC MIAMI CARD REVEALED

The UFC recently revealed the initial lineup for UFC on ESPN 3, which takes place April 27 at BB&T Center in Sunrise, Florida. The rumored primary event between middleweight sluggers Yoel Romero and Paulo Costa wasn’t officially declared, but the UFC did confirm a previously-reported light heavyweight bout between Glover Teixeira and Ion Cutelaba, as well as a bantamweight bout between John Lineker and Cory Sandhagen. You can find my recently-posted ideas on those bouts via the links. As for my thoughts on the other newly-announced bouts, you can read them under.
Carla Esparza vs. Livia Renato Souza, UFC on ESPN 3
The most notable of the new matchups announced is a women’s strawweight bout between Carla Esparza and Livia Renata Souza. Esparza (13-6) is 4-4 at the UFC and is a former champion, but she’s coming off of a beatdown TKO loss to Tatiana Suarez. Souza (13-1) is 2-0 at the UFC and is a former Invicta champion herself, currently riding a four-fight win series in general. That is a winnable struggle for Esparza but that I don’t know how anyone can have faith in her at this stage. She might be a tiny favorite here, but all the upside is with Souza.
Andrei Arlovski vs. Augusto Sakai, UFC on ESPN 3
Heavyweights Andrei Arlovski and Augusto Sakai will meet with this card. Arlovski (27-18, 1 NC) is 6-8 in his latest stint in the UFC and is now riding a three-fight losing skid with a decision loss to Walt Harris his out time. Sakai (12-1-1) is coming off of a TKO win over Chase Sherman in his UFC debut and is on a three-fight win streak in general. Arlovski is an easy fade at this point and I expect Sakai to bet a solid favorite here.
Jim Miller vs. Jason Gonzalez, UFC on ESPN 3
Lightweights Jim Miller and Jason Gonzalez are set to do battle. Miller (29-13, 1 NC) is currently 18-12, 1 NC all time in the UFC but has fallen on hard times as of late with reductions in five of the last six bouts. Gonzalez (11-4) is only 1-2 in the UFC and was completed in his losses. Miller is going to be the favorite here predicated on name value but I don’t know whether it’s possible to trust him at this stage.
Dhiego Lima vs. Court McGee, UFC on ESPN 3
There’s also a welterweight bout between Dhiego Lima and Court McGee. Lima (13-7) is just 2-6 in the UFC but is coming off of a brutal KO win over Chad Laprise at UFC 231. McGee (19-7) is 8-6 at the UFC and conquered Alex Garcia via conclusion in his final struggle. I could see this one going either way, either Lima tests McGee’s fading chin or McGee takes down him and smothers him. Start looking for a close betting line , with maybe a slight lean to McGee.
Jessica Penne vs. Jodie Esquibel, UFC on ESPN 3
And lastly, women’s strawweights Jessica Penne and Jodie Esquibel happen to be re-booked for this event as their bout at UFC on ESPN 1 recently fell through after Penne hurt her ankle in warmups. Clearly, it wasn’t a super-serious harm as she is going to be fighting just over a month afterwards. Penne was a tiny favored before the fight was pulled just hours before it was scheduled to happen, and I would presume the new line is going to be set right where it left off.
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